The Democratic primary in New Hampshire is not over as I write, but a number of thoughts occur based on my experience as a political reporter, observer, kibitzer and rank guesser:
You cannot accurately poll in a primary, especially in a small state where the "n" is so small.
It was clear from the beginning that both Obama and McCain could not win, and when McCain wrapped it up early, it spelled doom for Obama. Why? Because more than 40 percent of New Hampshire voters were registered as independent and could vote in either party's race, meaning either Obama OR McCain but not both.
As any guy can tell you, tears work.
Women voted heavily in favor of Clinton, unlike they did in Iowa and there were far more women voting than men.
Obama peaked way too early, though he could not control the fawning coverage of TV commentators and, surprisingly, the paeans from the right wing crazies who wanted to look tolerant. As a result of the conventional stupidity, independents may have believed Obama did not need their votes and gave them to McCain.
It would be nice if you could only vote in a primary if you are a Republican or Democrat, so that your opponents cannot determine your party's nominee.
Bill Clinton should have been sent to the South Pole.